H5 GAME RESEARCH2026-10-22 · EVENING

GAME MARKET

Probably Stolen demo at 25,264 concurrent players; Groundwork now purchasable in Early Access | October 22 evening

Asia/Shanghai · See the full report for actual observation times

Probably Stolen’s separate demo records 25,264 concurrent players in one snapshot; the full game is planned for October 28. Groundwork is now purchasable in Early Access. Beads and new rice rose versus the morning on Douyin. Look for the satisfaction of completing short loops yourself, without treating demo attention, developer promises or large-game scale as proven H5 opportunities.

Today’s highlights

Source notes and evidence

Full report

Focus game index

Probably Stolen - Cyberpunk Shopkeeper Sim: Oct 28 plan · Moon Sweepers: Oct 23 plan · The Mailroom: Oct 27 plan · Escape from Playtime: Today’s EA · Scam With Your Friends: Oct 16 EA · Groundwork Simulator: Today’s purchasable EA · Dressmaker: Sep 21 release; excluded by date · Deskrawl: Idle ARPG: Sep 28 release; excluded by date

Steam: demos and releases

Moon Sweepers is planned for October 23, linking cleaning, a full-load delivery and upgrades. The Mailroom’s detail lists October 27, with clue-based sorting and shifts. Both remain unreleased; developer promises are not player satisfaction.

One snapshot of a separate demo

Probably Stolen: demo attention, full game still ahead

The full game is planned for October 28. Its separate demo ranked 46th in the 18:03 English/US most-played sample with 25,264 concurrent players. This is not full-game sales, total players or growth.

The official hook is inspection, bargaining and rent pressure. An original counter could let players spot a flaw, make an offer and see the margin and next rent bill change. Gains and losses need visible reasons, not hidden penalties that force trial and error. Do not promise the full 3D world or faction story.

Official source · Questing Goose Studio

Full mechanism card and evidence

Observed release-state change

Groundwork: Early Access now purchasable, physics still costly

Groundwork Simulator official Steam store artwork (screenshot of visible store artwork)
Screenshot of official store artwork; source: Steam; developer: XYZ STUDIO · 2026-10-21T23:32:02.191Z

Still locked in the morning, its evening store now confirms purchasable October 22 Early Access. One map, machinery and a guided story are current; more maps, weather and mod support remain planned.

Digging, hauling, water routing and gold processing form a coherent sequence, but the developer warns of CPU-intensive soil and water simulation. A lightweight test should isolate visible capacity and process order, not assume expensive physics or co-op are free.

Official source · XYZ STUDIO

Full mechanism card and evidence

Douyin: beads and new rice

Two proposed tests, not executed

Beads and new rice rise versus the morning

Between 07:06:59 and 19:02:58 on October 22 (UTC+8), in the same Douyin top-50 entrance, beads moved 12→8 with heat 7.825m→9.217m; new rice moved 21→10, 7.752m→9.175m. Baidu’s bead topic concerns the same shop event, not a second demand source.

The bead promise is choosing, placing and undoing to fill the gaps yourself. Rice means fictional ingredients, a clear finishing cue and serving a bowl, not real cooking instruction. The filmed result must be achievable in play, not just a pleasant completion animation.

Stop if interest is only in watching, input errors overwhelm completion, or another round requires excessive artwork. Neither establishes player demand or competitive whitespace. Deliver the promised action before expanding systems.

Official source

Evidence and stop conditions for the two tests

Hongguo: distinguish high placement from decline

Same-chart morning/evening comparison, October 22

Wang Ma’s Household Comedy (editorial translation)

Comparing 07:07 and 19:02 (UTC+8), the work moved 5→3 on the overall chart and stayed first in live action. Retain an original chore-scheduling idea that restores order, without borrowing the source characters.

Official source

Same-chart morning/evening comparison, October 22

Road Survival to the End (editorial translation)

Comparing 07:07 and 19:02 (UTC+8), the work moved 9→13 on the comic chart, with composite heat 56.83m→56.17m. It remains inside the observed top 20; this is not a chart exit or proof that the theme failed.

Official source

Ten upstream candidates and source alternatives